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importer-labs/gitlab/6-forecast.md
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2022-09-06 15:29:05 -07:00

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# Forecast potential build runner usage
In this lab we will use the `forecast` command to forecast potential GitHub Actions usage by computing metrics from the historical pipeline data in our GitLab instance. The metrics will be stored on disk in a markdown file and include job metrics for execution time, queue time, and concurrency. We will look at each of these metrics in more depth later in this lab.
- [Prerequisites](#prerequisites)
- [Prepare for forecast](#prepare-for-forecast)
- [Perform a forecast](#perform-a-forecast)
- [Review forecast report](#review-forecast-report)
- [Forecasting multiple providers](#forecasting-multiple-providers)
- [Next steps](#next-steps)
## Prerequisites
1. Followed [steps](../gitlab#readme) to set up your codespace environment.
2. Completed the [configure lab](../gitlab/valet-configure-lab.md).
3. Ran the setup script in the terminal to make sure the GitLab instance is ready.
```
source gitlab/bootstrap/setup.sh
```
## Prepare for forecast
Before we can run the forecast we need to answer a few questions so we can construct the correct command.
1) What namespace do we want to run the forecast for?
- **valet**. This is the only group in the demo GitLab instance.
2) What is the date we want to start forecasting from?
- **2022-08-02**. This date is before the time the data was populated on our demo GitLab instance. In practice, this should be a date that will give you enough data to get a good understanding of the typical usage. Too little data and the metrics might not give an accurate picture
3) Where do we want to store the results?
- **./tmp/forecast_reports**. This can be any valid path on the system, but for simplicity it is recommend to use a directory in the root of the codespace workspace.
## Perform a forecast
1. Run `forecast` command in the terminal using the answers above.
```
gh valet forecast gitlab --output-dir ./tmp/forecast_reports --namespace valet --start-date 2022-08-02
```
2. Verify that the command output is similar to this.
![forecast_output](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/18723510/185232893-1ed46bca-f310-47dc-804c-40c13737f231.png)
## Review forecast report
Open the forecast report and review the calculated metrics.
- From the codespace explorer pane find `./tmp/forecast_reports/forecast_report.md` and right-click, and select __Open Preview__.
![forecast_explorer](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/18723510/185234641-948a551b-316f-4cce-9e7d-4c078ae11a04.png)
- The file should be similar to this.
<details>
<summary>example forecast_report.md</summary>
# Forecast report for [GitLab](http://localhost/valet)
- Valet version: **0.1.0.13432(03b5bc9370a8f0073c0cc1a4b25f6b81d0005c0f)**
- Performed at: **8/17/22 at 20:00**
- Date range: **2/8/22 - 8/17/22**
## Total
- Job count: **57**
- Pipeline count: **15**
- Execution time
- Total: **135 minutes**
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **7 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **10 minutes**
- Queue time
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **5 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **42 minutes**
- Concurrent jobs
- Median: **0**
- P90: **0**
- Min: **0**
- Max: **9**
---
## gitlab-runner
- Job count: **57**
- Pipeline count: **15**
- Execution time
- Total: **135 minutes**
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **7 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **10 minutes**
- Queue time
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **5 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **42 minutes**
- Concurrent jobs
- Median: **0**
- P90: **0**
- Min: **0**
- Max: **9**
> Note: Concurrent jobs are calculated by using a sliding window of 1m 0s.
</details>
### Metric Definitions
| Name | Description |
| ----- | ----------- |
| Median | The __middle__ value |
| P90 | 90% of the values are less than or equal to |
| Min | The lowest value |
| Max | The highest value |
### Total Section
- This section shows the metrics for all of the jobs that ran for projects contained in the `valet` namespace, from 08/02/2022 to the time the command was executed.
## Total
- Job count: **57**
- Pipeline count: **15**
---
We can see we ran 15 pipelines that contained 57 jobs. The number of jobs is expected to be larger than pipelines because a pipeline is typically a collection of jobs. For example `basic-pipeline-example` contains 6 jobs
![basic-pipeline-jobs](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/18723510/185423928-ec1b13b5-01fc-4e48-bbe5-0a77be7cecea.png)
- `Execution time` shows the metrics for the time a job __took to run__. Looking closer we can see during our forecast timeframe the total job run time was 135 minutes with 90% of the jobs finishing under 7 minutes, and the longest job taking 10 minutes. The `min` is 0 because the quickest job took less than a minute and was rounded down to 0.
- Execution time
- Total: **135 minutes**
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **7 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **10 minutes**
- `Queue time` shows the metrics for how long jobs __waited__ for a runner to be available.
- Queue time
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **5 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **42 minutes**
- `Concurrent jobs` show the metrics for how many jobs started or ended within the same 60 second time slice. The time slice window can be changed using the `--time-slice` option.
- Concurrent jobs
- Median: **0**
- P90: **0**
- Min: **0**
- Max: **9**
### Runner Group Sections
- The preceding section shows the same metrics as the `Total` section, but are grouped by runner group. A runner group is a machine (or group of machines) that jobs can run on
- In this case we only have one runner group `gitlab-runner` so the metrics match the `Total` section. If there were different groups we could possibly identify runner types that needed to be increased or decreased when moving to GitHub Actions
## gitlab-runner
- Job count: **57**
- Pipeline count: **15**
- Execution time
- Total: **135 minutes**
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **7 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **10 minutes**
- Queue time
- Median: **0 minutes**
- P90: **5 minutes**
- Min: **0 minutes**
- Max: **42 minutes**
- Concurrent jobs
- Median: **0**
- P90: **0**
- Min: **0**
- Max: **9**
## Forecasting multiple providers
If we examine the help for the `forecast` command by running `gh valet forecast --help` we can see a new option `--source-file-path`
![forecast-help](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/18723510/185643813-8a56710a-b5e6-4f62-a073-67d548cade1c.png)
Using `--source-file-path` we can combine data from multiple forecast runs into a single report. This becomes useful if we are using multiple CI/CD providers, such as GitLab and Jenkins, and wanted to get a holistic view of the runner usage across the providers. The way this works is the forecast command creates a `.json` file in a `jobs` directory for each command execution. The `--source-file-path` takes a space-delimited list of data file paths or a glob pattern that will match all of the data files we want to include and combine into a single report. We will use a glob pattern, which in general should match `OUTPUT_DIR/**/jobs/*.json` where the `OUTPUT_DIR` is the previous value used for `--output-dir`, which in this lab was `./tmp/forecast_reports`. We do not have multiple providers but we can still try it out because we have a data file at `tmp/forecast_reports/jobs/`!
- run `gh valet forecast --source-file-path tmp/**/jobs/*.json -o tmp/combined-forecast`
- Now we have a new report that was generated from all the data files that matched the glob pattern. Note this command does not introspect the CI/CD provider, it only operates on the data files it finds.
![combined-report](https://user-images.githubusercontent.com/18723510/185647504-ada354ed-4ac7-4d43-b2d5-e5f9cd1656dd.png)
## Next steps
[Perform a production migration of a GitLab pipeline](../gitlab/6-migrate.md)